A Project Management Institute, Inc. (PMI)®Registered Training Course
Project Analysis : Tools & Techniques for Managing Risk & Uncertainty
A Detailed Examination of The Tools & Techniques
to Help Mitigate Risks in Business and Projects
Course Overview
Large capital-intensive projects in all major industries require substantial - and mostly risky - investments in the acquisition, exploration, and subsequent operation and maintenance of new organizational assets.
The decision whether or not to invest in new capital projects, starts with critical decisions during the exploration phase of a new development, or the expansion of an existing field. The decision-making tools used to analyze project risk under conditions of uncertainty will help companies to determine the probability of success or loss, and will drive the decision to develop or abandon the well.
Of paramount importance therefore, is the systematic and comprehensive evaluation of potential investments, and the development of detailed cash-flow analyses to determine as accurately as possible, the expected returns to the organization under varying conditions of uncertainty over the expected productive life of the project.
This requires the development of sound, realistic, and carefully structured cash-flow projections, reflecting both the initial capital expenditures required for the acquisition of the asset, as well as the operational expenditures required for successful operation and maintenance of the asset over its anticipated productive life.
World-wide an alarming number of large capital projects fail to meet, or overrun their planned budgets, failing to realize both the financial and strategic goals of the organization - the very reason for their being undertaken in the first place - often with sizable increases in capital and operational expenditures, and with substantial financial losses to the organization. In the majority of cases, this is the inevitable consequence of failing to apply the tools and techniques of modern project decision-making, evaluation, financial planning, capital management and cash flow analysis when considering investment into new capital projects.
This GLOMACS Project analysis: Tools & Technique for Managing Risk Uncertainity training course will highlight:
- Understanding the decision-making process
- The power of the business case
- Financial decision-making tools
- The importance of project risk management
- How to identify risks during development and respond appropriately
Training Outline
DAY 1: Fundamentals of Decision Analysis
- What is project management decision analysis?
- The purpose of the project business case
- The need for systematic risk management for decision-making
- Risk and uncertainty on projects
- Option analysis
- Identifying key decision-making factors
Measures of Project Profitability
- Fundamental tools of engineering economics
- Time value of money
- Appraisal methods - Discounted Cash Flow Projections
- Time equivalence
DAY 2: Cash-Flow Modelling and Project Decision Analysis
- Financial Modelling and Project Evaluation
- Internal Rate of Return computations (IRR)
- Determining the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
- The risk of not understanding IRR
Analysing Project Specifics
- Understanding the project context to assist in decision-making
- Determine stakeholders and their level of influence
- Capture requirements
- Determine scope of work
DAY 3: The Cost of Capital
- Capital & Operating Expenditures (CAPEX / OPEX)
- Estimating the cost of capital for a project
- Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR)
- Dis-benefits
Risk Modelling in Practice
- Identify Risks
- Forecasting risk impacts & probabilities
- Opportunity costs, sunk costs & salvage value of a project
- Determining the Risk Priorities
- The need for company cash flow
DAY 4: Decision Analysis: Expected Value Concept
- Basic Probability Concepts
- Fundamental probability concepts
- Mutually & non-mutually exclusive, independent events
- Quantitative Project Risk Analysis
- Semi-quantitative bow-tie process
- Detailed risk quantification and prioritisation
- Expected monetary value
- Scenario planning
- Sensitivity Analysis Tools
- Simulation process
- Tornado diagram
- Defining the variables - PERT
DAY 5: Decision Trees, EMV, Risk Responses and ROI
- Decision Tree Analysis
- Developing decision trees
- Solving decision trees
- Risk Responses
- Developing risk responses
- Evaluating response relevance
- ROI Analysis
- Understanding ROI
- Identifying ROI
- Evaluating and presenting your project options
Certificates
- On successful completion of this training course, GLOMACS Certificate with eligible Continuing Professional Education credits (CPE) from National Registry of CPE Sponsor and Professional Development Units (PDUs) / Contact Hours from Project Management Institute (PMI®), will be awarded to the delegates
Accreditation
GLOMACS is proud to be an Authorized Training Partner (ATP No. 2759) with PMI®. As an ATP, GLOMACS is authorized to issue applicable Professional Development Units (PDUs) and Educational Contact Hours to participants of any of its PMI® approved training courses for PMI® Certification and Re-Certification.
GLOMACS is proud to hold the Approved Provider status with HR Certification Institute (HRCI®), an internationally recognized certifying organization for the human resource profession. This partnership grants us the ability to provide pre-approved HR Courses which qualify for re-certification credit of HR Professionals.
HR Certification Institute's® (www.HRCI.org) official seal confirms that GLOMACS meets the criteria for pre-approved recertification credit(s) for any of HRCI’s eight credentials, including SPHR® and PHR®."
GLOMACS is registered with NASBA as a sponsor of Continuing Professional Education (CPE) on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. NASBA have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: www.learningmarket.org.
All Training Seminars delivered by GLOMACS by default are eligible for CPE Credit.
Providers and Associations
About Saudi Glomacs
At Saudi GLOMACS, we specialize in delivering world-class training courses in Saudi Arabia and across various international locations. Our training courses are tailored to meet the unique demands of Saudi Vision 2030 and the Human Capability Development Program, focusing on empowering Saudi citizens and enhancing workforce skills. We offer diverse courses spanning leadership, management, engineering, and technical disciplines to cultivate expertise and drive professional growth. Our flexible learning options—whether in-person, online, or in-house—ensure accessibility and convenience for individuals and organizations alike.
With over 30+ years of experience through the GLOMACS global network, we are committed to delivering innovative, results-driven training solutions. Our expert instructors combine industry knowledge with dynamic teaching methods, fostering practical skill development and long-term career success. By choosing Saudi GLOMACS, you're investing in personal excellence and contributing to the Kingdom’s sustainable economic growth and vision-driven transformation.
What do you need to learn next?
Check our list of courses or let us customize a course for you.
View courses
