A Project Management Institute, Inc. (PMI)®Registered Training Course
Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis
Handling Uncertain Scenarios
Course Overview
The three biggest planning challenges are predicting costs, assessing profitability, and risk management. All these tasks occur in the early stages of capital planning and failure to adequately evaluate these elements can lead to heavy losses.
This Advanced Project Economics, Risk & Decision Analysis training course will highlight:
- Identification of the stages required in the risk analysis process, i.e., preparing, modeling, and running risk analysis
- Development of the risk model, assessing probabilities to various variables, risk analysis, and explore the impact of uncertain variables
- Enable the participants to create reports such as, tornadoes diagrams, scatter plots and cumulative probability functions, using excel
- Application of decision trees and Monte Carlo-based simulations to generate profitability indicators
- Enable the participants to develop probabilistic cashflow reports along with probabilistic profitability indicators for decision-making
Training Outline
DAY 1: Development Economics
- A brief history of energy usage
- Principles of development economics
- Understanding of economic terms
- Inflation and its impact on nominal & real cashflows
- Project financing
DAY 2: Uncertainty in Investments
- Handling uncertainty in capital projects
- Understanding probability concepts
- The expected value concept: features and pitfalls
- Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
- Expected Profitability Index (EPI)
- Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL)
DAY 3: Risks and Uncertainties
- Risk & uncertainty
- Risk aversion and risk premium
- Exploration project threats and opportunities
- Economic decision criteria
- Decision tree analysis
- Probability distribution
- Monte Carlo simulation
DAY 4: Setting-up Spreadsheet Calculations Using Excel
- Spreadsheet Calculations
- Cashflow analysis
- Sensitivity analysis calculations
- Tornado diagrams
- Introduction to Monte Carlo simulations using @Risk
DAY 5: Practical Use of the @Risk add-on
- Developing an integrated economic model
- Developing and using an @Risk Model Analysis
- Project sensitivity analysis utilizing data from @Risk Model
- Training course final review and close
Certificates
- On successful completion of this training course, GLOMACS Certificate with eligible Continuing Professional Education credits (CPE) from National Registry of CPE Sponsor and Professional Development Units (PDUs) / Contact Hours from Project Management Institute (PMI®), will be awarded to the delegates
Accreditation
GLOMACS is proud to be an Authorized Training Partner (ATP No. 2759) with PMI®. As an ATP, GLOMACS is authorized to issue applicable Professional Development Units (PDUs) and Educational Contact Hours to participants of any of its PMI® approved training courses for PMI® Certification and Re-Certification.
GLOMACS is registered with NASBA as a sponsor of Continuing Professional Education (CPE) on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. NASBA have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: www.learningmarket.org.
All Training Seminars delivered by GLOMACS by default are eligible for CPE Credit.
Providers and Associations
About Saudi Glomacs
At Saudi GLOMACS, we specialize in delivering world-class training courses in Saudi Arabia and across various international locations. Our training courses are tailored to meet the unique demands of Saudi Vision 2030 and the Human Capability Development Program, focusing on empowering Saudi citizens and enhancing workforce skills. We offer diverse courses spanning leadership, management, engineering, and technical disciplines to cultivate expertise and drive professional growth. Our flexible learning options—whether in-person, online, or in-house—ensure accessibility and convenience for individuals and organizations alike.
With over 30+ years of experience through the GLOMACS global network, we are committed to delivering innovative, results-driven training solutions. Our expert instructors combine industry knowledge with dynamic teaching methods, fostering practical skill development and long-term career success. By choosing Saudi GLOMACS, you're investing in personal excellence and contributing to the Kingdom’s sustainable economic growth and vision-driven transformation.
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